Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 160.018097 189.272125 225.130094 273.284173 337.839713 4.238900e+02 551.963556
2024-12-22 118.212624 150.420215 194.654686 262.867082 371.776514 5.527881e+02 916.165640
2024-12-29 103.355963 138.432553 190.756165 280.632046 447.215383 7.895890e+02 1760.282388
2025-01-05 88.087382 121.574649 174.063123 270.565083 468.385439 9.449158e+02 2786.517423
2025-01-12 79.030167 112.037076 166.155137 272.248635 512.715754 1.201598e+03 5223.110624
2025-01-19 71.138641 102.890680 156.760558 267.815776 541.250930 1.456982e+03 10044.641157
2025-01-26 68.363571 101.563474 160.565865 291.114060 654.627234 2.233109e+03 52916.451332
2025-02-02 67.762869 103.731951 171.126094 333.325280 862.241273 4.282334e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 62.798109 97.423219 163.869132 330.208580 917.138807 5.725070e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 59.309874 93.364558 160.465255 336.093491 1016.519681 8.739809e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 56.009628 89.259421 156.262082 338.561683 1107.781711 1.359553e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 52.827195 85.033447 151.139675 336.925430 1181.571598 2.123876e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 49.872288 81.288267 147.290027 340.697778 1313.319292 4.666315e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 46.109792 75.636836 138.415587 326.440954 1325.465566 7.792489e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 44.890659 74.918456 140.876684 350.843290 1663.778099 3.050476e+06 NaN
2025-03-30 41.892140 70.258602 133.153708 336.986309 1677.854012 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 39.965128 67.636220 130.062798 339.298435 1859.265222 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 37.866058 64.464297 125.159089 333.215075 1953.234127 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 37.470593 64.852613 129.374186 365.351079 2645.723288 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 37.832980 66.910993 138.419410 424.574441 4344.808494 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 36.152283 64.272183 134.147378 420.158614 4746.088911 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 34.963070 62.642883 132.506922 428.502179 5691.615921 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 33.735985 60.826511 130.080006 432.008707 6643.039123 NaN NaN